“We stopped a war”

Yesterday I went to the campus protests. I listened carefully to each of the 7-10 students personally describe their experience of being pepper-sprayed. Then at some point during the telling of these stories, a highly respected faculty member who had gone to college in the 60s, turned to me, and shaking his head, said: “ ‘We’ stopped a war.”

Everyone I know is appalled at the pepper-spraying incident. The video is devastating to watch. I’m also hearing a lot of: what is it they [the protestors] want? I have to confess I find this confusing as well. Sunday night I went to dinner at one of the dorms and sat with 10-15 undergraduates ranging from political science to biology. They were unanimous in their condemnation of the police actions; they were also unanimous that – at least on the UC Davis campus – the protestors did not fairly represent their concerns. I asked them what their number one concern was and they responded tuition increases. I asked them what they thought the protestors were protesting, and they paused and said, that’s the problem, we’re not sure.

Yesterday’s protests seemed to be some about the experiences of the students who were sprayed, reasonable enough. Some of it also was about ‘taking back the system’, which means what? And  a lot more than I expected seemed to revolve around a young English professor getting everyone to chant that the Chancellor should resign.

If she did indeed authorize force that night, I’ll be the first to say she must go, but the things is – we don’t know. We don’t know what the chain of command approved, said, or did that day. And we won’t know for a while. So what is it that the English professor thinks the Chancellor should resign for exactly?

Which brings me next to the “Davis Faculty Association”, who has also called for the Chancellor’s resignation and has been quoted everywhere (BBC, ABC News, WA Post). Who are they exactly? According to their membership list, there are about 120 active faculty members. The UC Davis faculty comprises roughly 1400 faculty. How is it that these 120 represent the rest of us? Among the faculty I have spoken to, none have said they want the Chancellor to resign ahead of fact-finding. I wouldn’t expect them to, we are a science and engineering campus. We tend to value the process of fact-finding. [I subsequently added an apology to this statement - see here]

While I am completely in sync with the students regarding the pepper-spraying, I see yesterday’s protest as a lost opportunity for them. Tuition increases (not to mention completely revamping police training) are a very big deal. The unwillingness of taxpayers, corporations, the whole lot, to pay for public education is a travesty. We are sacrificing everyone’s future. Yet, none of this seemed to be the focus of the day’s protests, especially for the young English professor, who is mostly aimed at having you buy tents (“100s’ of them) to populate the quad, because that’s what the “administration cannot tolerate” . Now that’s helpful to the students.

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Finding the middle

Yesterday a protest took place on the UC Davis campus. We even made the national scene (e.g., Huffington Post, Sac Bee). The Chancellor quickly issued a note to the campus. In my characterization, a somewhat hurried note that modestly blames the students and immodestly absolves the campus police. You can watch a video of the encounter here, watch it to the end.

There are many others who have touched on the campus protests (e.g., see The Moderate Voice, Remaking the University, and Little Green Footballs). But the protest at Davis is interesting, not the least because Davis has, at least historically, been a fairly passive campus. When I watch the video, I see 200 students radicalized by what is essentially a much larger national issue: the increasing gap between the rich and the poor.  It affects everything (except big oil and wall street bankers), but most especially it affects education.

In contrast to one of my colleagues, I don’t want the Chancellor fired. I want her to find a middle way between rules and protest. I want her to help by informalizing the rules to better achieve democratic principles. Tell protestors where they can make a difference, provide data, information, call for action to legislation, and most of all, have them ask their parents and every other person over the age of 50, why it is they feel entitled to live a life in which they have little to no obligation to future generations.

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as we sink future generations

2010 emissions

Today the DOE released GHG emissions figures for 2010 – the numbers are higher than anyone expected. A whopping 512MMT’s went up, our gift to future generations. It is a huge jump in total emissions. Bigger, in fact, than any of the numbers used in the 2007 IPCC 2007 scenarios. You can find the data here.

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Lisa Simeone channels Bob Dylan

NPR has just dropped Lisa Simeone as host of World of Opera. Why? you might ask if you’re an opera lover. She helped organize a wall street protest in Washington.

“World of Opera” is the only radio show in the nation devoted to broadcasting full-length operas from around the world…”

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What should city managers be paid? And how transparent should city councils be?

Normally I don’t delve much into Davis politics; we’re a small city with lots of bikes: what more do you need to know? But recently, there was quite a stir about the salary that the City Council offered to a new city manager (he took the job). There was a lot of confusion first, about the amount of the offer specifically, and then, about whether it was an appropriate amount given the city size and complexity. These issues, of course, blend into what a city council expects from a new manager and how that should feed into a salary offer. And it also brings up the issue of transparency (of both process and expectations).

I used the state Controller city salary data from 2009 to plot salary against: 1) CA cities with population between 55k and 85k and 2) against cities within Solano, Yolo and Sacramento counties (Davis is in Yolo). The League of Cities has suggested negotiating city manager compensation based on, among others, salaries in comparably sized cities and cities within geographic proximity.

I then added two estimates of the new Davis city manager salary. (They are estimates because some parts of the salary may be deferred in any given year). The first estimate came from Rich Rifkin, a local columnist, and the second from Sue Greenwald, a city council member. When asked for salary figure comparable to the controller data, the Davis Human Resources Department sent me the new city manager’s contract and told me that they couldn’t provide estimates until the 2011 taxes were filed. (It’s pretty strange to me that we hire people with public funds without being able to provide at least an estimate of this number). Finally, I also plotted the new city manager salary for Sacramento, a city with a population nearly 7x larger than Davis. (Note: When asked, the City of Sac seemed to be able to provide comparable estimates to the controller 2009 reported data).

Looking at the plot on the left, the salary for the incoming city manager will move Davis to from slightly below the 25th-percentile to above the 90th-percentile for all CA cities with populations between 55k-75k population. This is not an outrageous Bell-level salary, but certainly represents a big jump in what the City has traditionally paid its managers. Manteca is highlighted because that’s where the new Davis manager came from.  If you look at the average salary paid for cities within and adjacent to Yolo County, Davis’ previous city manager (Emlen) was paid about the average amount. The new city manager will be paid at about the 95th percentile of cities within the 3 county comparison (Yolo, Sacramento and Solano).

plots-percentiles

So what does all of this mean? Well, first, it suggests that the City is paying a premium to get this particular city manager relative to previous city managers. Based on what’s been publically circulated, his experience seems to be about average for CA city managers. Given this, it would seem sensible to have some very public expectations about job performance. What are the performance expectations that demand this high salary level? This is a transparency issue: the City Council does not seem to have any clear performance goals, other than the usual “run the City.”

I looked around for cities who seem to have performance goals and greater transparency. I found a number, and here I highlight two. The first is Vancouver, WA, which has an amazing wealth of information available to the average citizen, and the second is San Ramon, which has the highest paid city manager in the 55k-75k population group. Maybe the City Council could use these two sites to help us understand their goals for what the new City Manager should accomplish in running the City (and, of course, to justify the salary). 

Finally, a few caveats on the analysis. While I do know there is at least a solid $45k difference between the old and new city manager, with Human Resources unable to estimate the salary for the new city manager, I’m left the Rifkin/Greenwald estimates. Next, the controller data is for 2009 and the new city manager data is 2011. I don’t think this is a serious problem because the CPI last year was about 1.6, so in real dollars, there won’t be much difference. Finally, city population, of course, doesn’t explain all the variation in city manager salary (about 35%); lots of other factors can play a role in setting salary levels.

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Walmart, Green and Wall Street

Today, in the Marketplace section, is a front page piece on how Wal-Mart’s competitors are closing in on price differentials. About midway through the article, there is this quote:

Wal-Mart continues to post stable profits and overall sales…But Wal-Mart’s U.S. business, which accounts for some 60% of  of its $419b in annual revenue… is expected to notch a ninth consecutive quarter of declining sales at stores open at least a year…”

Don’t get me wrong, I think there are serious consequences for cities that entertain big box establishments like Wal-Mart, and the Wall Street Journal is definitely not a green fan, yet it strikes me that this article points to serious deficiencies in accounting for sustainable practices in market capitalization. The fact that Wal-Mart has managed to introduce such significant changes aimed at sustainability and maintain their prices should be of more value than those enterprises that achieve price reductions, but through unsustainable practices.

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who spies? the dutch drive along

While Americans lament giving their coordinates to the government (yet don’t seem to mind a bit as their cell phones track every movement), the Dutch are starting an experiment on VMT taxing.

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Truth in advertising: SACOG and SB 375

sacog_sb375

This is from a recent analysis I completed on the progress regions are making toward the 2050 GHG emissions target.

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Riders on the Budget Bill

From a recent post on Little Green Footballs,

How many of us know what they actually are? Oh sure, we know about NPR and Greenhouse Gasses. But there are MASSES of them and they are absolutely demented.

There are dozens of "riders" about the environment, defunding everything from the Wetlands Reserve Program to the Watershed Protection and Flood Prevention Act. No more Weatherization Assistance Program. Trash a bunch of environmental programs in California. No enforcement of water quality standards in Florida. No funds to go to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

It prevents various White House positions from being funded. No Environment Czar (actually, no "Czar" positions at all, all to be defunded immediately). No White House director of Health Care reform. No funding for anybody at all involved in any possible implementation of the health care reform law.

No more transferring prisoners from Guantanamo. No more constructing facilities to house the ones who are there.

No funding for immigrant integration programs.

No more collecting information on multiple sales of guns to the same person.

Defunds Sustainable Communities Initiative.
NASA is prohibited from collaborating with China (??).

The whole document is outrageous. I feel like it must be a hoax. If not, then shut down the bloody government. This sort of thing is not supposed to happen on budget "riders."

This is the link for the riders: http://www.ombwatch.org/files/budget/OMB_Watch-HR1_Policy_Riders.pdf

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The AB 32 EJ Decision

A final decision has been issued on the lawsuit filed against AB 32, California’s landmark climate change bill. In a nutshell, the decision delays implementation of AB 32 on the basis that the Air Resources Board (ARB) failed to adequately explore alternatives to carbon emissions cap and trade in the Scoping Plan, which for all practical purposes represents the state’s roadmap for reducing greenhouse gases (GHG).

The plaintiffs were largely environmental justice groups., who had made it clear before AB 32 was signed that they were opposed to a cap and trade. Somewhat surprisingly given their historical opposition to any market mechanisms at all, EJ groups instead supported a carbon tax. These groups have argued that emissions trading can be gamed by polluters, doesn’t provide a venue for public participation, and would result in pollution burdens disproportionately borne by low income and minority groups. Their pollution burden would be increased when, for example, power plants, which are often located in EJ neighborhoods, purchase additional offsets or allowances rather than directly reducing GHG emissions.

On Tuesday (3/22), Ann Carlson (UCLA Law) wrote a thoughtful post on the final decision, but it’s a post that sort of misses the point. While an argument (or many arguments) could be made for cap and trade or carbon taxes, the essential issue underlying the lawsuit is one of  ends vs means. The Court’s ruling is about “means”  – that the ARB didn’t adequately (or perhaps at all) analyze alternatives to cap and trade.

It’s unlikely that ARB’s “end” decision to implement a cap and trade would have changed even if they had analyzed alternatives. Cap and trade preparations were rolling along long before the Scoping Plan was completed; once the Governor had signed his order that cap and trade was his preferred policy (shortly after AB 32 was signed), efforts began to set up a regional trading program.

From my viewpoint, in terms of the rulemaking process, neither the ARB nor the EJ groups progressed much beyond their initial positions. The ARB didn’t give more than a nod to market mechanisms other than cap and trade, while at the same time the EJ groups haven’t really participated in those decisions central to the design of a good cap and trade program.

In many of these EJ-related disputes, a common underlying theme is out of sync timing. Most significant public policy decisions with potential environmental impacts require public participation processes. The way these processes are frequently structured, intended or not, result in very few feedbacks between the groups appointed to examine equity-related issues and the key decision-making processes. Or, as in the case of cap and trade, regardless of the process, the ultimate decision is already pre-determined. Over the next few weeks, I’ll walk through some recent and current examples.

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